Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares (BND)Fund
ETF · Intermediate Core Bond · NGM
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares (BND) is an ETF fund listed on NGM. It is currently trading at $70.15, down 2.9% over the past 30 days and down 5.7% over the past year. Cryptobi's forecasting model estimates a 0.8% decline over the next 30 days based on recent trend (model estimate, not financial advice).
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares (BND) · Last 90 days
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Forecast
Forecast model: Damped-trend exponential smoothing · model estimate, not financial advice · updated 2 hours ago
How BND ranks
- Steadier than 97% of tracked instruments Annualised volatility: 4.40%
- More oversold than 16% of tracked instruments Price z-score: -2.07
- Has a stronger 7-day forecast than 34% of tracked instruments 7-day forecast: -0.33%
- Has a better risk-adjusted return than 12% of tracked instruments Sharpe ratio: -0.62
Ranked against every instrument Cryptobi tracks, recomputed daily. See all rankings.
Risk Profile
Based on available price history · Sharpe ratio assumes 0% risk-free rate · updated 2 hours ago
Technical Analysis
Price is running well below its recent average - strong downward momentum.
Price z-score -2.07 (below rolling mean, window=20, threshold=2.0).
A strong downward price move, confirmed by unusually high volume.
Price z=-2.35 and volume z=2.50 (price_window=20, volume_window=20). Volume confirms spike.
Volume spiked without a matching price move - often a precursor, not yet a clear direction.
Volume z=3.39 (spike) with price z=0.46 (normal). Unusual volume without matching price move.
The short-term trend just turned downward, crossing below the longer-term trend.
Short MA crossed below long MA (window=20); price 71.8300. Volatility filter passed.
Price broke down below its recent trading range - a bearish breakdown.
Price broke below rolling low (71.7900 < 72.1500, window=20).
No significant event detected recently.
No significant event detected recently.
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