State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)Fund
ETF · Large Blend · PCX
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) is an ETF fund listed on PCX. It is currently trading at $762.63, down 0.6% over the past 30 days and up 14.5% over the past year. Cryptobi's forecasting model estimates a 0.4% gain over the next 30 days based on recent trend (model estimate, not financial advice).
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) · Last 90 days
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Forecast
Forecast model: Damped-trend exponential smoothing · model estimate, not financial advice · updated 2 hours ago
How SPY ranks
- Has a better risk-adjusted return than 83% of tracked instruments Sharpe ratio: 1.05
- Steadier than 76% of tracked instruments Annualised volatility: 17.38%
- Has a stronger 7-day forecast than 68% of tracked instruments 7-day forecast: 0.40%
- Has a deeper drawdown than 18% of tracked instruments Maximum drawdown: -16.44%
Ranked against every instrument Cryptobi tracks, recomputed daily. See all rankings.
Risk Profile
Based on available price history · Sharpe ratio assumes 0% risk-free rate · updated 2 hours ago
Technical Analysis
Price is running well below its recent average - strong downward momentum.
Price z-score -2.26 (below rolling mean, window=20, threshold=2.0).
A strong downward price move, confirmed by unusually high volume.
Price z=-2.26 and volume z=2.68 (price_window=20, volume_window=20). Volume confirms spike.
Volume spiked without a matching price move - often a precursor, not yet a clear direction.
Volume z=2.59 (spike) with price z=-0.56 (normal). Unusual volume without matching price move.
The short-term trend just turned upward, crossing above the longer-term trend.
Short MA crossed above long MA (window=20); price 767.8100. Volatility filter passed.
Price broke out above its recent trading range - a bullish breakout.
Price broke above rolling high (773.5000 > 773.1700, window=20).
Price swings just got bigger - more risk (and opportunity) either way, not a directional call.
Volatility expanded 2.2x from recent low (window=20, ratio>=2.0).
No significant event detected recently.
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